CS Maritimo vs Santa Clara: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 36' — Santa Clara took the lead: 0-1. Tiago Ribeiro scored it. Half time: 0-1.
62' — Santa Clara extended the lead: 0-2. Vinícius Lopes scored it. Santa Clara won 0-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CS MaritimoDrawSanta Clara
Pre-match model estimate: CS Maritimo 28%, draw 28%, Santa Clara 44%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
CS MaritimoSanta Clara
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min00
Last 15 min88
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CS Maritimo win in 28% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and Santa Clara win 44%. Average goals 2.2; the most likely score is 0-1 (14%); both teams score in 43%. About 9.3 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Santa Clara beat CS Maritimo2-0 without conceding at Estádio do Marítimo. It was 0-1 at half-time.
Key moments
Tiago Ribeiro opened the scoring for Santa Clara after 36 minutes, set up by Guilherme Romão. Half-time: 0-1, Santa Clara in front.
Santa Clara extended their lead to 2-0 in the 62nd minute: Vinícius Lopes.
The statistics
The shot count read 3-3, 1-0 on target. Corners finished 5-2.
What it means
CS Maritimo remain 14th, now with 8 points. Santa Clara stay 4th on 21 points. Santa Clara have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. Santa Clara beat CS Maritimo for the first time since 2023.
What’s next
Next up for CS Maritimo: away at Estoril Praia on Sunday 8 November. Santa Clara's next match is at home against Gil Vicente on 8 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Liga Portugal
