Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: ZNK Osijek (Wom) won 2-3.
Story
ZNK Split (Wom) vs ZNK Osijek (Wom): the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 9' — ZNK Split (Wom) took the lead: 1-0. 18' — ZNK Split (Wom) extended the lead: 2-0. 42' — ZNK Osijek (Wom) pulled one back: 2-1. Half time: 2-1.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
ZNK Split (Wom)ZNK Osijek (Wom)
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min00
Last 15 min00
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2 (no dangerous-attack data for this match).
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): ZNK Split (Wom) win in 21% of the simulated matches, 16% end level and ZNK Osijek (Wom) win 63%. Average goals 4.9; the most likely score is 1-3 (7%); both teams score in 80%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
ZNK Split (Wom) took the lead on 9 minutes. ZNK Split (Wom) extended their lead to 2-0 on 18 minutes. ZNK Osijek (Wom) pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 42 minutes. Half-time: 2-1, ZNK Split (Wom) in front.
ZNK Osijek (Wom) drew level at 2-2 on 60 minutes. ZNK Osijek (Wom) completed the turnaround at 3-2 on 82 minutes.
What the result means
ZNK Osijek (Wom) have now scored in 6 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
