Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Lusail SC beat Qatar SC 3-2 in Qatar Stars League.
Match decisions & VAR
13'Review overVAR review · penaltyDecision
17'Penalty awardedLusail SCDecision
33'Review overVAR review · incidentDecision
37'Penalty awardedVARQatar SCDecision
43'Goal disallowedLusail SCDecision · Score 1-1
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Lusail SC won 3-2.
Story
Lusail SC vs Qatar SC: the story of the match
Qatar SC started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 18' — Lusail SC took the lead: 1-0. 38' — Qatar SC equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1, with Qatar SC applying more of the pressure.
52' — Qatar SC completed the turnaround: 1-2. 56' — Lusail SC equalised: 2-2. 86' — Lusail SC completed the turnaround: 3-2. It came in the closing minutes. Lusail SC won 3-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Lusail SCQatar SC
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min3158
Last 15 min2242
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Lusail SC win in 35% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Qatar SC win 40%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 59%. About 9.8 corners on average. About 4.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The early pressure came from Qatar SC, who controlled the opening 15 minutes. Lusail SC took the lead on 18 minutes. VAR awarded Qatar SC a penalty in the 37th minute. Qatar SC drew level at 1-1 on 38 minutes. Lusail SC had a goal ruled out in the 43rd minute.
The first half ended 1-1, with Qatar SC the side applying more pressure.
Qatar SC completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 52 minutes. Just 4 minutes later (56') Lusail SC drew level at 2-2. Late on, in the 86th minute, Lusail SC completed the turnaround at 3-2.
The statistics
Qatar SC produced 66 dangerous attacks to Lusail SC's 49.
What it means
The result lifts Lusail SC to 5th with 12 points, up from 7th. Qatar SC stay 11th on 6 points. It is now 4 straight defeats for Qatar SC.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Qatar Stars League
