SC Cambuur Leeuwarden vs PSV Eindhoven: the story of the match
PSV Eindhoven started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 1' — PSV Eindhoven took the lead: 0-1. Sven Mijnans scored it. 15' — PSV Eindhoven extended the lead: 0-2. Sven Mijnans scored it. 19' — PSV Eindhoven extended the lead: 0-3. Ruben Van Bommel scored it. 41' — SC Cambuur Leeuwarden pulled one back: 1-3. Nicky Souren scored it. Half time: 1-3, with PSV Eindhoven applying more of the pressure.
78' — SC Cambuur Leeuwarden pulled one back: 2-3. Iwan Henstra scored it. 80' — PSV Eindhoven extended the lead: 2-4. Sven Mijnans scored it. 90' — PSV Eindhoven extended the lead: 2-5. Ayoni Santos scored it. It came in the closing minutes. PSV Eindhoven won 2-5. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
SC Cambuur LeeuwardenPSV Eindhoven
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min3193
Last 15 min5783
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
SC Cambuur Leeuwarden – PSV Eindhoven match report
The early pressure came from PSV Eindhoven, who controlled the opening 15 minutes. PSV Eindhoven took the lead on 1 minutes thanks to Sven Mijnans, set up by Esmir Bajraktarevic. PSV Eindhoven extended their lead to 2-0 on 15 minutes thanks to Sven Mijnans, set up by Ruben Van Bommel. PSV Eindhoven extended their lead to 3-0 on 19 minutes thanks to Ruben Van Bommel, set up by Esmir Bajraktarevic. SC Cambuur Leeuwarden pulled one back to make it 1-3 on 41 minutes thanks to Nicky Souren.
It was SC Cambuur Leeuwarden 1-3 PSV Eindhoven at half-time; PSV Eindhoven had the better of the pressure.
SC Cambuur Leeuwarden had a goal ruled out in the 76th minute. SC Cambuur Leeuwarden pulled one back to make it 2-3 on 78 minutes thanks to Iwan Henstra, set up by Rafik El Arguioui. PSV Eindhoven extended their lead to 4-2 in the 80th minute: Sven Mijnans. PSV Eindhoven extended their lead to 5-2 in the 90th minute: Ayoni Santos.
What the numbers say
SC Cambuur Leeuwarden had 4 shots (1 on target) to PSV Eindhoven's 3 (1). PSV Eindhoven produced 194 dangerous attacks to SC Cambuur Leeuwarden's 120.
What the result means
SC Cambuur Leeuwarden drop from 9th to 10th on 15 points. The result lifts PSV Eindhoven to 1st with 26 points, up from 3rd. PSV Eindhoven ended SC Cambuur Leeuwarden's unbeaten run of 8 matches. PSV Eindhoven have now scored in 6 consecutive matches. It is PSV Eindhoven's first win against SC Cambuur Leeuwarden since 2023.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Eredivisie
