We had a Santa Clara win as the most likely outcome; the match went another way.
✗ Santa Clara 42%✗ Most likely score 1-0
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Gil Vicente won 1-2.
Story
Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente: the story of the match
30' — Santa Clara took the lead: 1-0. An own goal by Antonio Espigares. Half time: 1-0.
52' — Gil Vicente equalised: 1-1. Walace França scored it. 62' — Pedro Pacheco of Santa Clara was sent off. 81' — Gil Vicente completed the turnaround: 1-2. Murilo scored it. Gil Vicente won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Santa ClaraDrawGil Vicente
Pre-match model estimate: Santa Clara 42%, draw 29%, Gil Vicente 29%.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Santa Clara win in 42% of the simulated matches, 29% end level and Gil Vicente win 29%. Average goals 2.2; the most likely score is 1-0 (15%); both teams score in 42%. About 9.2 corners on average. About 5.7 yellow cards on average; a red card in 23%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Santa Clara let a lead slip and lost 2-1 to Gil Vicente at Estádio de São Miguel. Murilo was our player of the match, rated 7.9 by the ScoreMondo model for Gil Vicente.
How the match unfolded
Santa Clara took the lead in the 30th minute with an own goal from Antonio Espigares. Half-time: 1-0, Santa Clara in front.
Santa Clara had a goal ruled out in the 52nd minute. Gil Vicente drew level at 1-1 in the 52nd minute through Walace França, set up by Murilo. Pedro Pacheco saw a straight red card in the 62nd minute, leaving Santa Clara short-handed. Gil Vicente completed the turnaround at 2-1 in the 81st minute through Murilo. The officials disallowed a Gil Vicente goal on 82 minutes.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 6-10, 0-3 on target. Corners finished 1-9. Cards: 4-2 in yellows, plus a red card for Santa Clara. Gil Vicente produced 96 dangerous attacks to Santa Clara's 65.
The bigger picture
Santa Clara stay 4th on 21 points. Gil Vicente remain 7th, now with 18 points. Santa Clara have now scored in 5 consecutive matches. Gil Vicente end a run of 3 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
