10' — Emmen took the lead: 0-1. Jack Cooper Love scored it. Half time: 0-1.
55' — Emmen extended the lead: 0-2. Jack Cooper Love scored it. Emmen won 0-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
GroningenDrawEmmen
Pre-match model estimate: Groningen 69%, draw 17%, Emmen 14%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Groningen win in 69% of the simulated matches, 17% end level and Emmen win 14%. Average goals 3.6; the most likely score is 2-1 (10%); both teams score in 60%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
