One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Varesina CalcioKick-off0-0US Pontedera
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Varesina Calcio 1.8 – 1.0 US Pontedera. Most frequent scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Both teams score in 53% of the simulated matches. About 9.4 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 21%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
Varesina CalcioUS Pontedera
Varesina Calcio: the stronger side on our resultsVCstrong
Varesina Calcio: home advantage in this competitionVCstrong
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Varesina Calcio.
Table by result
Varesina Calcio12
A win can lift them as high as 9.
A defeat can drop them as low as 13.
Win9–10Draw12Loss12–13
US Pontedera18
A win can lift them as high as 16.
Win16–18Draw18Loss18
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
US Pontedera arrive 18th in the standings on 0 points; Varesina Calcio are 12th with 6 points. US Pontedera trail Varesina Calcio by 6 points.
Form guide
Varesina CalcioLDDDLUS PontederaLWDLW
Varesina Calcio come into it with 3 draws and 2 defeats from 5 matches. Varesina Calcio are winless in 8. Varesina Calcio's recent home record reads 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 3. Goals have flowed in Varesina Calcio's games: 6 of the last 10 produced at least three.
US Pontedera have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Solbiatese Calcio 1911 beat US Pontedera 1-0 last time out. US Pontedera's recent away record reads 2 wins and 3 defeats in 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 13. 7 of US Pontedera's last 10 matches have had three or more goals.
Live on ScoreMondo
Follow Varesina Calcio v US Pontedera live on ScoreMondo: the live score, the line-ups, the statistics and every key event as it happens.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Italy / Serie D - Girone D
