Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
AC EsteKick-off0-0AC Mestre
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals AC Este 1.2 – 1.1 AC Mestre. Most frequent scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Both teams score in 47% of the simulated matches. About 9.4 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 22%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
AC EsteAC Mestre
On our results the two teams are close in strengthbalanced
AC Este: home advantage in this competitionESstrong
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Over the last 5 matches, AC Este have collected 3 wins and 2 defeats. Their most recent game was a 2-1 win over Unione La Rocca Altavilla SSD for AC Este. At home, AC Este have 2 wins and 3 defeats from their last 5 matches, with a goal tally of 4-6. Across 10 matches, AC Este have scored 0.7 and let in 0.9 goals per match on average.
Over the last 5 matches, AC Mestre have collected 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. AC Mestre have not lost in 3 matches. AC Mestre's recent away record reads 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 4. AC Mestre average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game over their last 10.
Head to head
In 5 previous meetings, AC Este have won 1, AC Mestre 1, and 3 have been drawn. The last meeting, in 2026, finished 0-0. AC Mestre are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings with AC Este.
Italy / Serie D - Girone D
