One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
GS ArconateseKick-off0-0AC Crema 1908
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals GS Arconatese 1.1 – 1.5 AC Crema 1908. Most frequent scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%). Both teams score in 52% of the simulated matches. About 9.9 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 21%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
GS ArconateseAC Crema 1908
AC Crema 1908: the stronger side on our resultsC1strong
GS Arconatese: home advantage in this competitionGAstrong
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards AC Crema 1908.
Table by result
GS Arconatese16
A win can lift them as high as 12.
A defeat can drop them as low as 17.
Win12–14Draw16Loss16–17
AC Crema 190815
A win can lift them as high as 10.
A defeat can drop them as low as 16.
Win10–12Draw12–14Loss15–16
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It is 16th against 15th: GS Arconatese have 3 points, AC Crema 1908 5 points. 2 points separate the sides, with AC Crema 1908 in front.
Form guide
GS ArconateseLLWLLAC Crema 1908WWDWD
GS Arconatese have 1 win and 4 defeats from their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 13. GS Arconatese have scored in each of their last 4 matches. GS Arconatese have not won any of their last 5 home games (2 draws and 3 defeats). 6 of GS Arconatese's last 10 matches have had three or more goals.
AC Crema 1908 are unbeaten in their last 5 matches: 3 wins and 2 draws. AC Crema 1908 are unbeaten in 6 matches. On the road, AC Crema 1908 have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches, with a goal tally of 4-7. Goals have flowed in AC Crema 1908's games: 7 of the last 10 produced at least three.
The history between them
The record between them over the last 2 matches reads 0-0-2 from GS Arconatese's point of view. When they last met, on 2 February 2025, AC Crema 1908 won 1-0.
Italy / Serie D - Girone D
