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Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
AC SaluzzoKick-off0-0Valenzana Mado
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals AC Saluzzo 1.6 – 0.9 Valenzana Mado. Most frequent scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Both teams score in 48% of the simulated matches. About 10.0 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 22%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
AC SaluzzoValenzana Mado
AC Saluzzo: the stronger side on our resultsSAstrong
AC Saluzzo: home advantage in this competitionSAstrong
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Over the last 5 matches, AC Saluzzo have collected 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat. AC Saluzzo have not lost in 3 matches. At home, AC Saluzzo have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches, with a goal tally of 4-5. Across 10 matches, AC Saluzzo have scored 1.0 and let in 1.2 goals per match on average.
Over the last 5 matches, Valenzana Mado have collected 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Valenzana Mado have found the net in 3 straight games. Valenzana Mado's recent away record reads 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 11. Goals have flowed in Valenzana Mado's games: 7 of the last 10 produced at least three.
The history between them
The record between them over the last 3 matches reads 1-0-2 from AC Saluzzo's point of view. The last meeting, in 2026, went 3-2 to Valenzana Mado. Those 3 games produced 11 goals, an average of 3.7 per match.
Italy / Serie D - Girone D
