Sporting de Alcazar CF vs Malaga CF: the story of the match
Malaga CF started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. Half time: 0-0, with Malaga CF applying more of the pressure.
71' — Malaga CF took the lead: 0-1. Chupete scored from the penalty spot. 78' — Antonio Avilés Ransanz of Sporting de Alcazar CF was sent off. 80' — Malaga CF extended the lead: 0-2. Chupete scored it. 88' — Malaga CF extended the lead: 0-3. Daniel Lorenzo scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Malaga CF won 0-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Who is pressing?
Sporting de Alcazar CFMalaga CF
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min2246
Last 15 min1562
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Sporting de Alcazar CF win in 3% of the simulated matches, 6% end level and Malaga CF win 91%. Average goals 4.2; the most likely score is 0-3 (12%); both teams score in 39%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The early pressure came from Malaga CF, who controlled the opening 15 minutes. It was Sporting de Alcazar CF 0-0 Malaga CF at half-time; Malaga CF had the better of the pressure.
Malaga CF took the lead in the 71st minute: Chupete from the penalty spot. Sporting de Alcazar CF had a player sent off on 78 minutes: Antonio Avilés Ransanz. Malaga CF extended their lead to 2-0 on 80 minutes thanks to Chupete, set up by Izan Merino. Malaga CF extended their lead to 3-0 on 88 minutes thanks to Daniel Lorenzo, set up by Chupete.
The statistics
Sporting de Alcazar CF had 0 shots (0 on target) to Malaga CF's 6 (3). Corners finished 0-7. Malaga CF produced 80 dangerous attacks to Sporting de Alcazar CF's 11.
Copa del Rey
