CD Ciudad de Lucena vs CF Rayo Majadahonda: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. Half time: 0-0.
90' — CF Rayo Majadahonda took the lead: 0-1. David Del Pozo scored it. It came in the closing minutes. CF Rayo Majadahonda won 0-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CD Ciudad de LucenaDrawCF Rayo Majadahonda
Pre-match model estimate: CD Ciudad de Lucena 30%, draw 26%, CF Rayo Majadahonda 44%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
CD Ciudad de LucenaCF Rayo Majadahonda
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min00
Last 15 min270
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2 (no dangerous-attack data for this match).
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD Ciudad de Lucena win in 30% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and CF Rayo Majadahonda win 44%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 52%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CD Ciudad de Lucena – CF Rayo Majadahonda match report
Copa del Rey
