Gimnastica Segoviana CF vs Cultural Leonesa: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 32' — Cultural Leonesa took the lead: 0-1. Antón Escobar scored it. 35' — Bogdan Ionut Tiru of Cultural Leonesa was sent off. Half time: 0-1.
47' — Samba Gnamadio of Gimnastica Segoviana CF was sent off. After 76' the momentum swung to Cultural Leonesa. After 91' the momentum swung to Gimnastica Segoviana CF. Cultural Leonesa won 0-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Gimnastica Segoviana CFDrawCultural Leonesa
Pre-match model estimate: Gimnastica Segoviana CF 30%, draw 25%, Cultural Leonesa 45%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Gimnastica Segoviana CFCultural Leonesa
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min9458
Last 15 min6649
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Gimnastica Segoviana CF win in 30% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Cultural Leonesa win 45%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 57%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Gimnastica Segoviana CF – Cultural Leonesa match report
Cultural Leonesa took the lead in the 32nd minute: Antón Escobar. Cultural Leonesa were a man down from the 35th minute, when Bogdan Ionut Tiru was sent off. Cultural Leonesa led 1-0 at the break.
Samba Gnamadio saw a second yellow and then red in the 47th minute, leaving Gimnastica Segoviana CF short-handed. Cultural Leonesa took over after the 76th minute, pinning Gimnastica Segoviana CF back. From the 91st minute the pressure shifted towards Gimnastica Segoviana CF.
Match statistics
On target it was 3-4, from 7 and 5 attempts respectively. Gimnastica Segoviana CF won 3 corners, Cultural Leonesa 3. Gimnastica Segoviana CF produced 80 dangerous attacks to Cultural Leonesa's 62.
What it means
Cultural Leonesa ended Gimnastica Segoviana CF's unbeaten run of 5 matches. Cultural Leonesa have now scored in 4 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Copa del Rey
