36' — Utrecht took the lead: 0-1. A. Stepanov scored it. Half time: 0-1.
77' — SBV Excelsior equalised: 1-1. A. Sliti scored it. 90' — Utrecht went back in front: 1-2. D. de Wit scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Utrecht won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
SBV ExcelsiorDrawUtrecht
Pre-match model estimate: SBV Excelsior 31%, draw 25%, Utrecht 44%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Utrecht took the lead on 36 minutes thanks to A. Stepanov. Half-time: 0-1, Utrecht in front.
SBV Excelsior drew level at 1-1 on 77 minutes thanks to A. Sliti, set up by A. Thorsteinsson. Late on, in the 90th minute, Utrecht went 2-1 up through D. de Wit.
What the result means
Utrecht ended SBV Excelsior's unbeaten run of 3 matches. Utrecht end a run of 5 matches without a win.
Next fixtures
Next up for SBV Excelsior: home to Go Ahead Eagles on Saturday 7 November. Utrecht's next match is at home against NEC Nijmegen on 8 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Eredivisie
