Jong KRC Genk vs KAA Gent B: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
52' — KAA Gent B took the lead: 0-1. J. Umolu scored it. 84' — Jong KRC Genk equalised: 1-1. 89' — C. Akpan of Jong KRC Genk was sent off. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Jong KRC GenkDrawKAA Gent B
Pre-match model estimate: Jong KRC Genk 48%, draw 23%, KAA Gent B 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Jong KRC Genk win in 48% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and KAA Gent B win 29%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 63%. About 9.7 corners on average. About 4.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Jong KRC Genk and KAA Gent B shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Challenger Pro League. The half-time score was 0-0.
Key moments
Half-time: 0-0 between Jong KRC Genk and KAA Gent B.
KAA Gent B took the lead on 52 minutes thanks to J. Umolu, set up by Victor Vandenbroucke. Jong KRC Genk drew level at 1-1 on 84 minutes. C. Akpan saw a straight red card in the 89th minute, leaving Jong KRC Genk short-handed.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 10-12, 6-8 on target. Jong KRC Genk won 6 corners, KAA Gent B 6. 8 saves came from the Jong KRC Genk goalkeeper.
What it means
The result lifts Jong KRC Genk to 10th with 10 points, up from 11th. KAA Gent B stay 9th on 12 points. Jong KRC Genk have now gone 6 matches without a win. Across 3 meetings in our records: 3 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
