Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town kick-off time: 14/11/2026 15:00
England
League Two Round 15
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- Swindon TownLWDWD
- Grimsby TownDWWDLUnbeaten in 4 matches
Recent meetings
More- League TwoGrimsby Town4 - 0Swindon Town
- League TwoSwindon Town2 - 2Grimsby Town
- League TwoGrimsby Town0 - 4Swindon Town
League Two
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cheltenham Town | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby Town | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 | York City FC | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Swindon Town and Grimsby Town meet on in League Two.
Venue: The County Ground.
In our records Swindon Town and Grimsby Town have met 10 times: Swindon Town won 7, 1 ended level and Grimsby Town won 2.
Their latest meeting (): Grimsby Town 4-0 Swindon Town.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Grimsby Town (48%).
Why it matters: Swindon Town are chasing the Promotion places.
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town: preview
Swindon Town have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. 3 of Swindon Town's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5. Grimsby Town have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Grimsby Town are unbeaten in 4 matches. 7 of Grimsby Town's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7.
In their last 10 meetings, Swindon Town won 7, 1 ended level and Grimsby Town won 2. Swindon Town are in position 13 with 19 points, Grimsby Town in position 6 with 20 points. A win could lift Swindon Town as high as position 3. A win could lift Grimsby Town as high as position 3.
Our pre-match model estimate: Swindon Town 29%, draw 23%, Grimsby Town 48%.
Table by result
- A win can take them into the Promotion places.
- A win can take them into the Promotion places.
- A draw is enough to stay in the Promotion play-off places.
- A defeat can drop them out of the Promotion play-off places.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Swindon Town win in 29% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Grimsby Town win 48%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 60%. About 10.0 corners on average. About 4.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 22%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
