7' — Walsall took the lead: 0-1. Andrew Dallas scored it. 19' — Newport County equalised: 1-1. Kion Etete scored it. 23' — Newport County completed the turnaround: 2-1. Michael Adu-Poku scored it. Half time: 2-1.
60' — Newport County extended the lead: 3-1. Kion Etete scored it. Newport County won 3-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Newport CountyDrawWalsall
Pre-match model estimate: Newport County 35%, draw 25%, Walsall 40%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Newport County win in 35% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Walsall win 40%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 58%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Walsall let a lead slip and lost 3-1 to Newport County at Rodney Parade. Newport County owed a lot to Kion Etete, who struck twice. The attendance at Rodney Parade was 3,205.
The story of the match
Walsall took the lead on 7 minutes thanks to Andrew Dallas. Newport County drew level at 1-1 in the 19th minute: Kion Etete. Newport County completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 23 minutes thanks to Michael Adu-Poku. Newport County led 2-1 at the break.
Newport County extended their lead to 3-1 in the 60th minute: Kion Etete.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 7-9, 3-7 on target. Corners finished 3-4. Newport County's goalkeeper made 6 saves. Dangerous attacks: 111 for Newport County, 83 for Walsall.
What it means
Walsall have now scored in 10 consecutive matches.
Next fixtures
Newport County's next match is away to Crewe Alexandra on 14 November. Walsall visit Leicester City next, on 10 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
FA Cup
