We had a Manchester City win as the most likely outcome.
✓ Manchester City 54%
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result awaiting verification.
Full time: Manchester City won 2-1.
Story
Manchester City vs Bournemouth: the story of the match
26' — Bournemouth took the lead: 0-1. M. Tavernier scored it. Half time: 0-1.
84' — Manchester City equalised: 1-1. M. Guehi scored it. 90' — Manchester City completed the turnaround: 2-1. J. Gvardiol scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Manchester City won 2-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Manchester CityDrawBournemouth
Pre-match model estimate: Manchester City 54%, draw 24%, Bournemouth 22%.
Bournemouth let a lead slip and lost 2-1 to Manchester City at Etihad Stadium. The top ScoreMondo rating of the match went to Manchester City's M. Guehi: 8.9. The match was played on Sunday, 23 August 2026 at Etihad Stadium in Manchester.
The story of the match
M. Tavernier opened the scoring for Bournemouth after 26 minutes, set up by Evanilson. It was Manchester City 0-1 Bournemouth at half-time.
Manchester City drew level at 1-1 on 84 minutes thanks to M. Guehi, set up by R. Cherki. Late on, in the 90th minute, Manchester City completed the turnaround at 2-1 through J. Gvardiol, set up by R. Cherki.
What the numbers say
Manchester City's yellow cards went to P. Foden in the 78th minute. Booked for Bournemouth: Evanilson (46') and A. Silva (85').
The players
The best ScoreMondo ratings after the player of the match went to J. Gvardiol (Manchester City, 8.7), R. Cherki (Manchester City, 8.6) and M. Tavernier (Bournemouth, 7.7). From the Manchester City bench came M. Nunes on 57 minutes, M. Kovacic on 63 minutes, R. Cherki on 63 minutes and J. Grealish on 82 minutes. Bournemouth made 4 changes: T. Adams for L. Cook (75'), A. Toth for J. Kluivert (75'), D. Jebbison for Evanilson (75') and B. Gannon-Doak for Rayan (89').
Before the match
In 5 previous meetings, Manchester City have won 3, Bournemouth 1, and 1 has been drawn. The last meeting, in 2026 in the English Premier League, finished 1-1. Those 5 games produced 16 goals, an average of 3.2 per match. Jarred Gillett was the referee, averaging 4.1 yellow cards per match across 55 matches in our records.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.