Albania vs Finland kick-off time: 12/11/2026 19:45
Europe
UEFA Nations League Round 5
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- AlbaniaWLWWLScored in 4 matches in a row
- FinlandLWDWL
Recent meetings
More- UEFA Nations LeagueFinland2 - 1Albania
UEFA Nations League
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 4 | +6 | 8 |
| 2 | Estonia | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 3 | Bulgaria | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 4 | -5 | 3 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Albania and Finland meet on in UEFA Nations League.
Venue: Air Albania Stadium.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Albania (48%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Albania vs Finland: preview
Albania have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. Albania have scored in 4 matches in a row. 4 of Albania's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 3. Finland have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. 5 of Finland's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 3.
Our pre-match model estimate: Albania 48%, draw 28%, Finland 24%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Albania win in 48% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and Finland win 24%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 1-0 (14%); both teams score in 45%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
