San Marino vs Belarus kick-off time: 12/11/2026 19:45
Europe
UEFA Nations League Round 5
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- San MarinoLLLLLNo win in 12 matches
- BelarusWWDLDUnbeaten in 3 matches
Recent meetings
More- UEFA Nations LeagueBelarus4 - 0San Marino
UEFA Nations League
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 4 | +6 | 8 |
| 2 | Estonia | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 3 | Bulgaria | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 4 | -5 | 3 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
San Marino and Belarus meet on in UEFA Nations League.
Venue: San Marino Stadium.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Belarus (86%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
San Marino vs Belarus: preview
San Marino have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 matches. San Marino have not won in 12 matches. 9 of San Marino's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5. Belarus have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Belarus are unbeaten in 3 matches. 5 of Belarus's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4.
Our pre-match model estimate: San Marino 3%, draw 11%, Belarus 86%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): San Marino win in 3% of the simulated matches, 11% end level and Belarus win 86%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 0-2 (16%); both teams score in 29%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
