Newcastle United vs Everton: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
49' — Everton took the lead: 0-1. Thierno Barry scored it. 98' — Jacob Ramsey of Newcastle United was sent off. Everton won 0-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Newcastle UnitedDrawEverton
Pre-match model estimate: Newcastle United 39%, draw 27%, Everton 34%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Newcastle United win in 39% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Everton win 34%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 48%. About 10.4 corners on average. About 4.6 yellow cards on average; a red card in 23%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Everton beat Newcastle United1-0 without conceding at St. James' Park. The half-time score was 0-0. 52,279 spectators were at St. James' Park.
How the match unfolded
It was Newcastle United 0-0 Everton at half-time.
Everton took the lead in the 49th minute: Thierno Barry. Newcastle United had a goal ruled out in the 67th minute. Jacob Ramsey saw a second yellow and then red in the 98th minute, leaving Newcastle United short-handed.
The statistics
On target it was 3-5, from 9 and 7 attempts respectively. Newcastle United won 4 corners, Everton 5.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
