We had a Inter Turku win as the most likely outcome.
✓ Inter Turku 69%✗ Most likely score 2-0
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Inter Turku won 4-3.
Story
Inter Turku vs IF Gnistan: the story of the match
22' — Inter Turku took the lead: 1-0. H. Sjögrell scored it. 36' — IF Gnistan equalised: 1-1. Ruxi scored it. Half time: 1-1.
54' — Inter Turku went back in front: 2-1. J. Botué scored it. 84' — Inter Turku extended the lead: 3-1. L. Kuittinen scored it. 88' — IF Gnistan pulled one back: 3-2. G. Europaeus scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 88' — Inter Turku extended the lead: 4-2. Muhammed Suso scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — IF Gnistan pulled one back: 4-3. P. Gnanou scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Inter Turku won 4-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Inter TurkuDrawIF Gnistan
Pre-match model estimate: Inter Turku 69%, draw 18%, IF Gnistan 13%.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Inter Turku win in 69% of the simulated matches, 18% end level and IF Gnistan win 13%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 2-0 (11%); both teams score in 53%. About 9.9 corners on average. About 3.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 18%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Inter Turku beat IF Gnistan4-3 in the Veikkausliiga at Veritas Stadium. It was 1-1 at half-time. G. Europaeus was our player of the match, rated 8.5 by the ScoreMondo model for IF Gnistan.
The story of the match
Inter Turku took the lead on 22 minutes thanks to H. Sjögrell, set up by Eeli Kiiskilä. IF Gnistan drew level at 1-1 in the 36th minute through Ruxi, set up by A. Atarah. Half-time: 1-1 between Inter Turku and IF Gnistan.
Inter Turku went 2-1 up on 54 minutes thanks to J. Botué. Inter Turku extended their lead to 3-1 in the 84th minute through L. Kuittinen, set up by J. Laine. IF Gnistan pulled one back to make it 3-2 in the 88th minute through G. Europaeus, set up by R. Eremenko. Muhammed Suso made it 4-2 for Inter Turku after 88 minutes, set up by L. Laine. P. Gnanou reduced the deficit for IF Gnistan to 4-3 after 90 minutes.
Match statistics
The shot count read 5-11, 4-4 on target. Corners finished 9-9.
The bigger picture
Inter Turku have now scored in 5 consecutive matches. The wait for a win goes on for IF Gnistan: 7 matches now.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
