KVC Westerlo vs Sporting de Charleroi: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. Half time: 0-0, with KVC Westerlo applying more of the pressure.
58' — Sporting de Charleroi took the lead: 0-1. Freddy Mbemba scored it. 60' — Sporting de Charleroi extended the lead: 0-2. Aurelien Scheidler scored it. 65' — Sporting de Charleroi extended the lead: 0-3. Patrick Pflücke scored it. 72' — Sporting de Charleroi extended the lead: 0-4. Aurelien Scheidler scored it. 74' — KVC Westerlo pulled one back: 1-4. Norman Bassette scored it. 87' — Pape Diong of KVC Westerlo was sent off. 89' — Sporting de Charleroi extended the lead: 1-5. Adama Bojang scored from the penalty spot. It came in the closing minutes. After 46' the momentum swung to Sporting de Charleroi. Sporting de Charleroi won 1-5. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
KVC WesterloDrawSporting de Charleroi
Pre-match model estimate: KVC Westerlo 34%, draw 23%, Sporting de Charleroi 43%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
KVC WesterloSporting de Charleroi
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min2271
Last 15 min4242
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): KVC Westerlo win in 34% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Sporting de Charleroi win 43%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 62%. About 10.1 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 29%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The first half ended 0-0, with KVC Westerlo the side applying more pressure.
From the 46th minute the pressure shifted towards Sporting de Charleroi. Sporting de Charleroi took the lead in the 58th minute: Freddy Mbemba. Sporting de Charleroi extended their lead to 2-0 in the 60th minute: Aurelien Scheidler. Patrick Pflücke made it 3-0 for Sporting de Charleroi after 65 minutes. Sporting de Charleroi extended their lead to 4-0 on 72 minutes thanks to Aurelien Scheidler.
KVC Westerlo pulled one back to make it 1-4 on 74 minutes thanks to Norman Bassette. KVC Westerlo had a player sent off on 87 minutes: Pape Diong. Late on, in the 89th minute, Sporting de Charleroi extended their lead to 5-1 through Adama Bojang from the penalty spot.
The statistics
Corners finished 1-6.
What the result means
KVC Westerlo slip to 9th (14 points), having started the day 8th. Sporting de Charleroi climb from 4th to 3rd on 27 points. KVC Westerlo have now scored in 9 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Pro League
