Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
UD Los Garres beat CD Cotillas 2-0 in Tercera Federacion, Group 12.
Match decisions & VAR
32'Goal disallowedCD CotillasDecision · Score 1-0
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: UD Los Garres won 2-0.
Story
UD Los Garres vs CD Cotillas: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 25' — UD Los Garres took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
87' — UD Los Garres extended the lead: 2-0. It came in the closing minutes. UD Los Garres won 2-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
UD Los GarresDrawCD Cotillas
Pre-match model estimate: UD Los Garres 36%, draw 28%, CD Cotillas 36%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
UD Los GarresCD Cotillas
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min00
Last 15 min00
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2 (no dangerous-attack data for this match).
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): UD Los Garres win in 36% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and CD Cotillas win 36%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 48%. About 8.8 corners on average. About 5.6 yellow cards on average; a red card in 27%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Tercera Federacion, Group 12
