Al Sadd SC Doha vs Al Rayyan: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 10' — Al Rayyan took the lead: 0-1. Otávio scored it. 13' — Al Rayyan extended the lead: 0-2. Ahmed Alaa Eldin scored it. 21' — Al Sadd SC Doha pulled one back: 1-2. Roberto Firmino scored it. 22' — Al Rayyan extended the lead: 1-3. Róger Guedes scored it. 28' — Al Rayyan extended the lead: 1-4. Ahmed Alaa Eldin scored it. 42' — Al Sadd SC Doha pulled one back: 2-4. Giovani scored it. Half time: 2-4, with Al Sadd SC Doha applying more of the pressure.
67' — Al Sadd SC Doha pulled one back: 3-4. Akram Afif scored it. Al Rayyan won 3-4.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Al Sadd SC DohaDrawAl Rayyan
Pre-match model estimate: Al Sadd SC Doha 43%, draw 22%, Al Rayyan 35%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Al Sadd SC DohaAl Rayyan
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min022
Last 15 min1922
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Al Sadd SC Doha win in 43% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Al Rayyan win 35%. Average goals 3.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (9%); both teams score in 70%. About 10.1 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Al Rayyan got the better of Al Sadd SC Doha, winning 4-3 at Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium. Al Rayyan owed a lot to Ahmed Alaa Eldin, who struck twice. It was 2-4 at half-time.
The story of the match
Al Rayyan took the lead in the 10th minute: Otávio. Al Rayyan extended their lead to 2-0 in the 13th minute: Ahmed Alaa Eldin, set up by Gabriel Pereira. Al Sadd SC Doha pulled one back to make it 1-2 on 21 minutes thanks to Roberto Firmino, set up by Giovani. Róger Guedes made it 3-1 for Al Rayyan after 22 minutes, set up by Gabriel Pereira. The officials disallowed a Al Rayyan goal on 26 minutes.
Just 2 minutes later (28') Al Rayyan extended their lead to 4-1, Ahmed Alaa Eldin on target, set up by Ahmed Al Minhali. Al Sadd SC Doha pulled one back to make it 2-4 on 42 minutes thanks to Giovani, set up by Tarek Salman. Half-time: 2-4, Al Rayyan in front.
Al Sadd SC Doha pulled one back to make it 3-4 on 67 minutes thanks to Akram Afif.
The statistics
Corners finished 7-1.
The bigger picture
Al Sadd SC Doha slip to 3rd (18 points), having started the day 1st. Al Rayyan climb from 2nd to 1st on 21 points. Al Sadd SC Doha's 4-match unbeaten run is over. Al Rayyan are now unbeaten in 6 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
