Gillingham vs Cambridge United: the story of the match
24' — Cambridge United took the lead: 0-1. Z. Bradshaw scored it. 31' — Gillingham equalised: 1-1. L. Dayal scored it. 34' — Cambridge United went back in front: 1-2. P. Mpanzu scored it. Half time: 1-2.
57' — Cambridge United extended the lead: 1-3. L. Appere scored it. 87' — Cambridge United extended the lead: 1-4. I. Heath scored from the penalty spot. It came in the closing minutes. Cambridge United won 1-4. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
GillinghamDrawCambridge United
Pre-match model estimate: Gillingham 32%, draw 24%, Cambridge United 44%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Cambridge United took the lead on 24 minutes thanks to Z. Bradshaw, set up by G. McConnell. Gillingham drew level at 1-1 on 31 minutes thanks to L. Dayal, set up by M. Luxton. Just 3 minutes later (34') Cambridge United went 2-1 up, P. Mpanzu on target, set up by B. Knight. Half-time: 1-2, Cambridge United in front.
Cambridge United extended their lead to 3-1 on 57 minutes thanks to L. Appere, set up by B. Knight. Cambridge United extended their lead to 4-1 in the 87th minute: I. Heath from the penalty spot.
What it means
Gillingham's winning streak stops at 3. Cambridge United are now unbeaten in 4 matches.
Coming up
Gillingham host Barrow AFC next, on 7 November. Next up for Cambridge United: away at Bristol Rovers on Friday 6 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
EFL Trophy, Northern Group F
