One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Bristol RoversKick-off0-0Cambridge United
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Bristol Rovers win in 29% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Cambridge United win 45%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 51%.
Goals scored per match: 1.7Goals conceded per match: 1.4
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Bristol Rovers won 2-0.
Story
Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
57' — Bristol Rovers took the lead: 1-0. Reiss-Alexander Russell-Denny scored it. 72' — Bristol Rovers extended the lead: 2-0. Fabrizio Cavegn scored it. Bristol Rovers won 2-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Bristol RoversDrawCambridge United
Pre-match model estimate: Bristol Rovers 29%, draw 26%, Cambridge United 45%.
Bristol Rovers kept a clean sheet in a 2-0 win over Cambridge United in the FA Cup. It was 0-0 at half-time. Player of the match: Fabrizio Cavegn of Bristol Rovers, with a ScoreMondo rating of 7.3. The match was played on Friday, 6 November 2026 at Memorial Stadium in Bristol. The attendance at Memorial Stadium was 3,657.
Key moments
The first half ended 0-0.
Reiss-Alexander Russell-Denny opened the scoring for Bristol Rovers after 57 minutes. Bristol Rovers extended their lead to 2-0 on 72 minutes thanks to Fabrizio Cavegn.
Match statistics
Bristol Rovers led on expected goals, 1.08 to 0.89. Corners finished 3-5. Cards: 4-1 in yellows. Bristol Rovers' goalkeeper made 5 saves. Dangerous attacks: 121 for Bristol Rovers, 78 for Cambridge United. Bristol Rovers committed 15 fouls to Cambridge United's 8, and the offside count read 1-2.
Bristol Rovers came into the match with 1 draw and 4 defeats from their last 5 matches — 7 without a win. Fleetwood Town beat Bristol Rovers 3-1 last time out. Before kick-off, Cambridge United's last 5 matches had brought 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Last time out, Cambridge United beat Brighton and Hove Albion U216-0 at home. Bristol Rovers and Cambridge United have met 10 times in our records: 6 wins for Bristol Rovers, 3 for Cambridge United and 1 draw. The last meeting, in 2026, went 3-1 to Cambridge United. Those 10 games produced 23 goals, an average of 2.3 per match.
The bigger picture
A 7-game wait for victory is over for Bristol Rovers.
Next fixtures
Next up for Bristol Rovers: home to Chesterfield FC on Saturday 14 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
