We had a Groningen win as the most likely outcome; the match went another way.
✗ Groningen 41%✗ Most likely score 2-1
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Sparta Rotterdam won 2-3.
Story
Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam: the story of the match
1' — Groningen took the lead: 1-0. Jacob Ondrejka scored it. 16' — Sparta Rotterdam equalised: 1-1. Cedric Hatenboer scored it. 25' — Sparta Rotterdam completed the turnaround: 1-2. Milan Zonneveld scored it. 29' — Groningen equalised: 2-2. Thom Van Bergen scored it. Half time: 2-2.
85' — Sparta Rotterdam completed the turnaround: 2-3. Andrej Kostic scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Sparta Rotterdam won 2-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
GroningenDrawSparta Rotterdam
Pre-match model estimate: Groningen 41%, draw 21%, Sparta Rotterdam 38%.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Groningen win in 41% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and Sparta Rotterdam win 38%. Average goals 3.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (9%); both teams score in 71%. About 10.2 corners on average. About 3.7 yellow cards on average; a red card in 15%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Groningen took the lead on 1 minutes thanks to Jacob Ondrejka, set up by Brynjólfur Willumsson. Sparta Rotterdam drew level at 1-1 on 16 minutes thanks to Cedric Hatenboer. Sparta Rotterdam completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 25 minutes thanks to Milan Zonneveld. Groningen drew level at 2-2 in the 29th minute through Thom Van Bergen, set up by Hans Hateboer. Half-time: 2-2 between Groningen and Sparta Rotterdam.
Sparta Rotterdam completed the turnaround at 3-2 in the 85th minute through Andrej Kostic.
The statistics
Groningen had 14 shots (7 on target) to Sparta Rotterdam's 4 (1). Groningen won 2 corners, Sparta Rotterdam 7. The referee showed 4 yellow cards, 1 to Groningen and 3 to Sparta Rotterdam. 7 saves came from the Sparta Rotterdam goalkeeper. Groningen produced 215 dangerous attacks to Sparta Rotterdam's 162.
What the result means
Groningen have now gone 4 matches without a win. Sparta Rotterdam have now scored in 5 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
