No events yet.
CF Marialvas beat UD Serra 2-1 in Campeonato de Portugal – Group C.
In our records CF Marialvas and UD Serra have met 2 times: CF Marialvas won 0, 1 ended level and UD Serra won 1.
Their latest meeting (): CF Marialvas 1-1 UD Serra.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Result awaiting verification.
Full time: CF Marialvas won 2-1.
Half time: 1-1.
CF Marialvas won 2-1.
Model estimate
Pre-match model estimate: CF Marialvas 57%, draw 24%, UD Serra 19%.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
What the pre-match simulation said
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CF Marialvas win in 57% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and UD Serra win 19%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 49%. About 10.2 corners on average. About 4.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 26%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
ScoreMondo · Published: · Updated:
UD Serra went down 2-1 to CF Marialvas in the Campeonato de Portugal – Group C.
By half: 1-1 and 1-0.
CF Marialvas ended UD Serra's unbeaten run of 9 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
