One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Athletic Club MGKick-off0-0Ceara SC
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Athletic Club MG win in 43% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and Ceara SC win 29%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 45%. About 11.4 corners on average. About 4.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 23%.
Athletic Club MG came from behind to beat Ceara SC2-1 in the Brasileiro Serie B. Player of the match: Assis of Athletic Club MG, with a ScoreMondo rating of 7.6. Monday 2 November, Estádio Joaquim Portugal (Sao Joao del Rei): Athletic Club MG against Ceara SC on matchday 36, kick-off 21:00. 2,981 spectators were at Estádio Joaquim Portugal.
Key moments
Ceara SC took the lead in the 22nd minute through Saulo, set up by Melk. Athletic Club MG drew level at 1-1 on 36 minutes thanks to Assis. The first half ended 1-1.
Athletic Club MG completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 65 minutes thanks to Jhan Torres, set up by Kauan.
Match statistics
The shot count read 10-8, 5-5 on target. Athletic Club MG led on expected goals, 2.27 to 1.88. Athletic Club MG won 4 corners, Ceara SC 3. Fouls: 18 by Athletic Club MG, 12 by Ceara SC; offsides 3-1.
Booked for Athletic Club MG: Enzo (41'). Ceara SC's yellow cards went to Vinicius in the 17th minute and Éder in the 18th minute.
The players
Behind him, Jhan Torres at 7.0, Kauan at 6.9 and Saulo at 6.8 were next in the ScoreMondo ratings. Athletic Club MG made 5 changes: Zeca for Jota (45'), Gian Cabezas for Enzo (45'), Douglas for Diogo Batista (58') and Dixon Vera for Assis (71'). From the Ceara SC bench came Savio on 62 minutes, Ryan Bonfim De Santana on 62 minutes, Vinicius on 72 minutes and Matheus Andrade on 73 minutes, among 5 changes.
The context
Before kick-off, Athletic Club MG's last 5 matches had brought 2 draws and 3 defeats. Athletic Club MG lost 1-0 away to Operario Ferroviario EC in their last match. Ceara SC came into the match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches — 3 without a win. Goias EC beat Ceara SC 2-0 last time out. Referee Alex Gomes Stefano showed 3 yellow cards; the average in our records is 5.0 yellows per game over 53 matches.
What the result means
Athletic Club MG end a run of 7 matches without a win. Ceara SC have now gone 4 matches without a win.
Next fixtures
Athletic Club MG visit Sao Bernardo FC SP next, on 12 November in the Brasileiro Serie B. Next up for Ceara SC: away at Clube De Regatas Brasil on Saturday 14 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.