50' — Cadiz CF took the lead: 0-1. Antonio Cordero scored it. 63' — Mallorca equalised: 1-1. Pablo Torre scored it. 89' — Mallorca completed the turnaround: 2-1. Fuentes scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Mallorca won 2-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
MallorcaDrawCadiz CF
Pre-match model estimate: Mallorca 69%, draw 20%, Cadiz CF 11%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Mallorca win in 69% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and Cadiz CF win 11%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 2-0 (14%); both teams score in 42%. About 10.3 corners on average. About 4.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 22%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Cadiz CF had a goal ruled out in the 8th minute. The first half ended 0-0.
Cadiz CF took the lead on 50 minutes thanks to Antonio Cordero. Mallorca drew level at 1-1 on 63 minutes thanks to Pablo Torre. Late on, in the 89th minute, Mallorca completed the turnaround at 2-1 through Fuentes.
The statistics
Mallorca won 10 corners, Cadiz CF 2.
What the result means
The result lifts Mallorca to 5th with 22 points, up from 7th. Cadiz CF drop from 19th to 20th on 10 points. Mallorca extend their unbeaten run to 5 matches. It is Mallorca's first win against Cadiz CF since 2023.
Coming up
Next up for Cadiz CF: home to Real Oviedo on Saturday 7 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
LaLiga 2
