21' — Burgos CF took the lead: 0-1. José Gragera scored it. Half time: 0-1.
48' — CD Laredo equalised: 1-1. Andrés Carral scored it. 67' — Burgos CF went back in front: 1-2. Alberto Dadie scored it. 72' — CD Laredo equalised: 2-2. Óscar Conde scored it. 86' — Burgos CF went back in front: 2-3. Iván Martínez scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Burgos CF extended the lead: 2-4. Alberto Dadie scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Burgos CF won 2-4. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CD LaredoDrawBurgos CF
Pre-match model estimate: CD Laredo 14%, draw 20%, Burgos CF 66%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD Laredo win in 14% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and Burgos CF win 66%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 0-2 (12%); both teams score in 47%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Burgos CF took the lead on 21 minutes thanks to José Gragera. Half-time: 0-1, Burgos CF in front.
CD Laredo drew level at 1-1 on 48 minutes thanks to Andrés Carral. Burgos CF went 2-1 up in the 67th minute: Alberto Dadie. CD Laredo drew level at 2-2 on 72 minutes thanks to Óscar Conde. Iván Martínez put Burgos CF 3-2 ahead after 86 minutes. Burgos CF extended their lead to 4-2 in the 90th minute: Alberto Dadie.
The statistics
The shot count read 3-8, 2-5 on target. Corners finished 1-8. CD Laredo's goalkeeper made 5 saves. Dangerous attacks: 159 for Burgos CF, 37 for CD Laredo.
What the result means
CD Laredo's winning streak stops at 6.
Next fixtures
Next up for Burgos CF: home to Celta de Vigo B on Saturday 7 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Copa del Rey
