UB Conquense vs CD Castellon: the story of the match
35' — CD Castellon took the lead: 0-1. Antonio Gala scored it. 36' — CD Castellon extended the lead: 0-2. Varo scored it. Half time: 0-2.
51' — Martín Conde of CD Castellon was sent off. 63' — CD Castellon extended the lead: 0-3. Varo scored it. 78' — Moussa Mohamed Koita of UB Conquense was sent off. CD Castellon won 0-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
UB ConquenseDrawCD Castellon
Pre-match model estimate: UB Conquense 22%, draw 26%, CD Castellon 52%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): UB Conquense win in 22% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and CD Castellon win 52%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 0-1 (13%); both teams score in 47%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A 3-0 rout: CD Castellon swept UB Conquense aside at Estadio La Fuensanta. CD Castellon owed a lot to Varo, who struck twice. It was 0-2 at half-time.
Key moments
CD Castellon took the lead in the 35th minute: Antonio Gala. CD Castellon extended their lead to 2-0 on 36 minutes thanks to Varo. Half-time: 0-2, CD Castellon in front.
CD Castellon were a man down from the 51st minute, when Martín Conde was sent off. CD Castellon extended their lead to 3-0 in the 63rd minute: Varo. Moussa Mohamed Koita saw a straight red card in the 78th minute, leaving UB Conquense short-handed.
What the numbers say
UB Conquense had 4 shots (1 on target) to CD Castellon's 2 (2). Corners finished 4-6. Dangerous attacks: 286 for CD Castellon, 242 for UB Conquense.
What the result means
UB Conquense's 3-match unbeaten run is over. CD Castellon beat UB Conquense for the first time since 2018.
What’s next
CD Castellon's next match is away to Real Valladolid on 14 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Copa del Rey
