One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
FC BunyodkorKick-off0-0Xorazm Urganch
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals FC Bunyodkor 1.4 – 1.4 Xorazm Urganch. Most frequent scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Both teams score in 56% of the simulated matches. About 9.9 corners on average. About 3.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 24%.
Xorazm Urganch got the better of FC Bunyodkor, winning 2-1 at Milliy Stadium. The match was played on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at Milliy Stadium in Tashkent (matchday 27).
How the match unfolded
Xorazm Urganch took the lead on 5 minutes. FC Bunyodkor drew level at 1-1 on 33 minutes. Xorazm Urganch went 2-1 up on 37 minutes. It was FC Bunyodkor 1-2 Xorazm Urganch at half-time.
The officials disallowed a FC Bunyodkor goal on 91 minutes.
Match statistics
FC Bunyodkor had 13 shots (5 on target) to Xorazm Urganch's 5 (1). By our xG model, FC Bunyodkor's chances were worth 1.50 goals and Xorazm Urganch's 0.72. Corners finished 5-4. The referee showed 4 yellow cards, 2 to FC Bunyodkor and 2 to Xorazm Urganch. Xorazm Urganch's goalkeeper made 5 saves. FC Bunyodkor committed 7 fouls to Xorazm Urganch's 17, and the offside count read 1-0.
How they came into it
Before kick-off FC Bunyodkor were 13th on 26 points and Xorazm Urganch 15th on 23 points. FC Bunyodkor came into the match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches — scoring in 4 straight games. Their most recent game was a 2-1 win over FK Mashal Mubarek for FC Bunyodkor. Before kick-off, Xorazm Urganch's last 5 matches had brought 2 draws and 3 defeats. Xorazm Urganch lost 1-0 at home to Pakhtakor FK in their last match. The record between them over the last 5 matches reads 4-1-0 from FC Bunyodkor's point of view. The last meeting, in 2026, ended in a 2-1 win for FC Bunyodkor. Those 5 games produced 10 goals, an average of 2.0 per match. U. Rahimjonov was the referee.
The bigger picture
FC Bunyodkor slip to 14th (26 points), having started the day 13th. Xorazm Urganch climb from 15th to 13th on 26 points. FC Bunyodkor have now scored in 5 consecutive matches. A 11-game wait for victory is over for Xorazm Urganch. Xorazm Urganch had not beaten FC Bunyodkor in any of the previous 5 meetings we have.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
