Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
UD Poblense and AD Ceuta FC meet on in Copa del Rey.
Venue: Camp Nou de Sa Pobla.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards AD Ceuta FC (52%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
25%23%52%
UD Poblense25%Draw23%AD Ceuta FC52%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
UD Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC: preview
UD Poblense have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. UD Poblense have scored in 5 matches in a row. 4 of UD Poblense's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4. AD Ceuta FC have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. AD Ceuta FC have scored in 7 matches in a row. 6 of AD Ceuta FC's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7.
Our pre-match model estimate: UD Poblense 25%, draw 23%, AD Ceuta FC 52%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): UD Poblense win in 25% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and AD Ceuta FC win 52%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 54%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Over the last 5 matches, UD Poblense have collected 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. UD Poblense have found the net in 5 straight games. Across 10 matches, UD Poblense have scored 0.9 and let in 1.0 goals per match on average.
Recent form for AD Ceuta FC: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in 5, with 7 goals for and 9 against. AD Ceuta FC have scored in each of their last 7 matches. Goals have flowed in AD Ceuta FC's games: 6 of the last 10 produced at least three.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Copa del Rey
