10' — UB Lebrijana took the lead: 1-0. Pepe Tejero Gómez scored it. 23' — UB Lebrijana extended the lead: 2-0. Sergio David Romero Campo scored it. 45' — Getafe pulled one back: 2-1. Abdel Abqar scored it. 45' — Getafe equalised: 2-2. Borja Mayoral scored it. Half time: 2-2.
68' — Getafe completed the turnaround: 2-3. Orel Mangala scored it. Getafe won 2-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
UB LebrijanaDrawGetafe
Pre-match model estimate: UB Lebrijana 2%, draw 6%, Getafe 92%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): UB Lebrijana win in 2% of the simulated matches, 6% end level and Getafe win 92%. Average goals 4.2; the most likely score is 0-3 (13%); both teams score in 38%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
UB Lebrijana took the lead on 10 minutes thanks to Pepe Tejero Gómez. Sergio David Romero Campo made it 2-0 for UB Lebrijana after 23 minutes, set up by Jesús Serrano Salguero. Getafe pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 45 minutes thanks to Abdel Abqar. Getafe drew level at 2-2 in the 45th minute: Borja Mayoral. Half-time: 2-2 between UB Lebrijana and Getafe.
Getafe completed the turnaround at 3-2 on 68 minutes thanks to Orel Mangala, set up by Kiko Femenía.
The statistics
UB Lebrijana had 5 shots (5 on target) to Getafe's 7 (5). UB Lebrijana won 2 corners, Getafe 8. 6 saves came from the UB Lebrijana goalkeeper. Getafe produced 216 dangerous attacks to UB Lebrijana's 112.
The bigger picture
Getafe end a run of 5 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Copa del Rey
