Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
88' — Paderborn 07 took the lead: 1-0. Rayan Philippe scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Paderborn 07 won 1-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Paderborn 07 win in 46% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Hamburger SV win 31%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 62%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It was Paderborn 07 0-0 Hamburger SV at half-time.
The officials disallowed a Paderborn 07 goal on 49 minutes. Late on, in the 88th minute, Paderborn 07 took the lead through Rayan Philippe, set up by Felix Götze.
Match statistics
On target it was 6-1, from 11 and 3 attempts respectively. Corners finished 6-3. Dangerous attacks: 47 for Paderborn 07, 30 for Hamburger SV.
What it means
Hamburger SV's winning streak stops at 4.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Bundesliga
