Liverpool vs Brighton and Hove Albion: the story of the match
17' — Liverpool took the lead: 1-0. An own goal by Pascal Gross. 22' — Liverpool extended the lead: 2-0. Alexander Isak scored it. Half time: 2-0.
Liverpool won 2-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
LiverpoolDrawBrighton and Hove Albion
Pre-match model estimate: Liverpool 47%, draw 24%, Brighton and Hove Albion 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Liverpool win in 47% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Brighton and Hove Albion win 29%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 60%. About 10.1 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 24%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Liverpool took the lead on 17 minutes thanks to an own goal from Pascal Gross. Liverpool extended their lead to 2-0 in the 22nd minute: Alexander Isak. Half-time: 2-0, Liverpool in front.
The statistics
On target it was 4-1, from 6 and 8 attempts respectively. Liverpool won 4 corners, Brighton and Hove Albion 2. Brighton and Hove Albion produced 62 dangerous attacks to Liverpool's 39.
What it means
The result lifts Liverpool to 4th with 15 points, up from 5th. Brighton and Hove Albion stay 3rd on 16 points. Liverpool have now won 4 in a row. Liverpool ended Brighton and Hove Albion's unbeaten run of 8 matches.
What’s next
Liverpool's next match is at home against Chelsea on 28 October. Brighton and Hove Albion visit Manchester City next, on 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Premier League
