24' — Hull City took the lead: 1-0. Oliver McBurnie scored from the penalty spot. Half time: 1-0.
63' — Brentford equalised: 1-1. Dango Ouattara scored it. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Hull CityDrawBrentford
Pre-match model estimate: Hull City 21%, draw 22%, Brentford 57%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Hull City win in 21% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Brentford win 57%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 0-1 (11%); both teams score in 54%. About 9.8 corners on average. About 4.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 24%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Hull City – Brentford match report
Updated:
It finished 1-1 between Hull City and Brentford at The MKM Stadium. It was 1-0 at half-time. The attendance at The MKM Stadium was 24,259.
The story of the match
Hull City took the lead on 24 minutes thanks to Oliver McBurnie from the penalty spot. Half-time: 1-0, Hull City in front.
The shot count read 3-9, 2-6 on target. Corners finished 5-6.
The bigger picture
Hull City slip to 10th (10 points), having started the day 9th. Brentford remain 6th, now with 11 points. The wait for a win goes on for Hull City: 7 matches now. Brentford have now scored in 12 consecutive matches. Across 11 meetings in our records: 4 wins for Hull City, 4 wins for Brentford and 3 draws.
What’s next
Next up for Hull City: home to Ipswich Town on Saturday 31 October. Brentford's next match is away to Sunderland on 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Premier League
