9' — Palermo took the lead: 1-0. Gabriel Strefezza scored it. 33' — Palermo extended the lead: 2-0. Joel Pohjanpalo scored it. Half time: 2-0.
63' — Sampdoria pulled one back: 2-1. Lorenzo Insigne scored it. 94' — Palermo extended the lead: 3-1. Antonio Palumbo scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Palermo won 3-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
PalermoDrawSampdoria
Pre-match model estimate: Palermo 72%, draw 18%, Sampdoria 10%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Palermo took the lead in the 9th minute: Gabriel Strefezza, set up by Tommaso Augello. Palermo extended their lead to 2-0 in the 33rd minute: Joel Pohjanpalo. Half-time: 2-0, Palermo in front.
Sampdoria pulled one back to make it 2-1 in the 63rd minute: Lorenzo Insigne. Palermo extended their lead to 3-1 in the 94th minute: Antonio Palumbo, set up by Dennis Johnsen.
The bigger picture
Palermo have now won 5 in a row. Sampdoria have now gone 4 matches without a win.
What’s next
Next up for Palermo: home to LR Vicenza Virtus on Sunday 1 November. Sampdoria's next match is at home against Virtus Entella on 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.