Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace: the story of the match
13' — Jean-Philippe Mateta of Crystal Palace was sent off. 25' — Tottenham Hotspur took the lead: 1-0. Archie Gray scored it. Half time: 1-0.
73' — Tottenham Hotspur extended the lead: 2-0. Jan Paul van Hecke scored it. Tottenham Hotspur won 2-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Tottenham HotspurDrawCrystal Palace
Pre-match model estimate: Tottenham Hotspur 50%, draw 25%, Crystal Palace 25%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Tottenham Hotspur win in 50% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Crystal Palace win 25%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 51%. About 9.6 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 22%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Crystal Palace had a player sent off on 13 minutes: Jean-Philippe Mateta. Tottenham Hotspur took the lead on 25 minutes thanks to Archie Gray, set up by Mohammed Kudus. Tottenham Hotspur led 1-0 at the break.
Tottenham Hotspur extended their lead to 2-0 in the 73rd minute: Jan Paul van Hecke. Tottenham Hotspur had a goal ruled out in the 86th minute.
Match statistics
The shot count read 23-2, 9-1 on target. Corners finished 19-0. Tottenham Hotspur produced 139 dangerous attacks to Crystal Palace's 18.
What it means
Tottenham Hotspur extend their unbeaten run to 4 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
