One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Atletico MalaguenoKick-off0-0UD Melilla
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Atletico Malagueno win in 45% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and UD Melilla win 29%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 51%. About 9.3 corners on average. About 5.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 27%.
Previous meetings and form
Head to head
0Atletico Malagueno1Draws1UD Melilla
Goals: 4 - 5 · last 2 meetings
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Atletico Malagueno3 - 3UD Melilla
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4UD Melilla2 - 1Atletico Malagueno
Neither Atletico Malagueno nor UD Melilla could find a winner in a 2-2 draw. The half-time score was 1-1. Saturday 31 October: Atletico Malagueno against UD Melilla on matchday 9, kick-off 10:00.
Key moments
UD Melilla took the lead on 14 minutes. UD Melilla had a goal ruled out in the 16th minute. UD Melilla had a player sent off on 40 minutes. Atletico Malagueno drew level at 1-1 on 41 minutes. Half-time: 1-1 between Atletico Malagueno and UD Melilla.
Atletico Malagueno completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 74 minutes. Just 4 minutes later (78') UD Melilla drew level at 2-2.
Match statistics
The shot count read 5-2, 4-2 on target. Atletico Malagueno won 9 corners, UD Melilla 6. The referee showed 7 yellow cards, 5 to Atletico Malagueno and 2 to UD Melilla, and a red. Atletico Malagueno produced 668 dangerous attacks to UD Melilla's 259. Fouls: 16 by Atletico Malagueno, 12 by UD Melilla; offsides 1-3.
The context
Before kick-off, Atletico Malagueno's last 5 matches had brought 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Last time out, Atletico Malagueno beat Motril CF 4-2 away. UD Melilla came into the match with 4 wins and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches. Their most recent game was a 2-0 win over CD Cantoria 2017 for UD Melilla. When they last met, on 3 May 2026, it ended 3-3.
What the result means
Atletico Malagueno have now scored in 8 consecutive matches. Across 3 meetings in our records: 1 win for UD Melilla and 2 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Tercera Federacion, Group 12
