Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Millwall U21 beat Cardiff City U21 3-0 in Professional Development League.
In our records Millwall U21 and Cardiff City U21 have met 4 times: Millwall U21 won 2, 1 ended level and Cardiff City U21 won 1.
Their latest meeting (): Millwall U21 1-1 Cardiff City U21.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Millwall U21 won 3-0.
Story
Millwall U21 vs Cardiff City U21: the story of the match
6' — Millwall U21 took the lead: 1-0. 33' — Millwall U21 extended the lead: 2-0. Half time: 2-0.
61' — Millwall U21 extended the lead: 3-0. Millwall U21 won 3-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Millwall U21DrawCardiff City U21
Pre-match model estimate: Millwall U21 46%, draw 21%, Cardiff City U21 33%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Millwall U21 win in 46% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and Cardiff City U21 win 33%. Average goals 4.0; the most likely score is 2-1 (8%); both teams score in 75%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
