Heerenveen vs SBV Excelsior: the story of the match
11' — Heerenveen took the lead: 1-0. Dylan Vente scored from the penalty spot. Half time: 1-0.
55' — Heerenveen extended the lead: 2-0. Oliver Braude scored it. 84' — Heerenveen extended the lead: 3-0. Luca Oyen scored it. 88' — Heerenveen extended the lead: 4-0. Jacob Trenskow scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Heerenveen won 4-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
HeerenveenDrawSBV Excelsior
Pre-match model estimate: Heerenveen 62%, draw 21%, SBV Excelsior 17%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A 4-0 rout: Heerenveen swept SBV Excelsior aside at Abe Lenstra Stadion. It was 1-0 at half-time.
Key moments
Heerenveen took the lead in the 11th minute: Dylan Vente from the penalty spot. Heerenveen led 1-0 at the break.
Heerenveen extended their lead to 2-0 on 55 minutes thanks to Oliver Braude. Heerenveen extended their lead to 3-0 in the 84th minute: Luca Oyen, set up by Ringo Meerveld. Heerenveen extended their lead to 4-0 in the 88th minute: Jacob Trenskow.
The bigger picture
The wait for a win goes on for SBV Excelsior: 5 matches now.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
