28' — Wrexham FC took the lead: 0-1. An own goal by Z. Sturge. Half time: 0-1.
52' — Wrexham FC extended the lead: 0-2. K. Moore scored it. 69' — Wrexham FC extended the lead: 0-3. J. Ekomie scored it. Wrexham FC won 0-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
MillwallDrawWrexham FC
Pre-match model estimate: Millwall 42%, draw 29%, Wrexham FC 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A 3-0 rout: Wrexham FC swept Millwall aside at The Den. It was 0-1 at half-time.
The story of the match
Wrexham FC took the lead on 28 minutes thanks to an own goal from Z. Sturge. Wrexham FC led 1-0 at the break.
Wrexham FC extended their lead to 2-0 on 52 minutes thanks to K. Moore, set up by J. Windass. Wrexham FC extended their lead to 3-0 on 69 minutes thanks to J. Ekomie, set up by D. Imray.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
English League Championship
