Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 12' — Inter Milan took the lead: 1-0. Pio Esposito scored it. 19' — Inter Milan extended the lead: 2-0. Marcus Thuram scored it. Half time: 2-0, with Inter Milan applying more of the pressure.
After 76' the momentum swung to FC Como. Inter Milan won 2-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Inter MilanDrawFC Como
Pre-match model estimate: Inter Milan 44%, draw 24%, FC Como 32%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Inter MilanFC Como
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min5363
Last 15 min5366
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Inter Milan win in 44% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and FC Como win 32%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 59%. About 9.5 corners on average. About 3.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 15%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Inter Milan took the lead on 12 minutes thanks to Pio Esposito, set up by Djed Spence. Marcus Thuram made it 2-0 for Inter Milan after 19 minutes. Inter Milan led 2-0 at the break.
FC Como took over after the 76th minute, pinning Inter Milan back.
Match statistics
On target it was 4-1, from 9 and 6 attempts respectively. Inter Milan won 4 corners, FC Como 2. FC Como produced 55 dangerous attacks to Inter Milan's 40.
What it means
Inter Milan stay 2nd on 28 points. FC Como drop from 4th to 5th on 23 points. Inter Milan have now scored in 12 consecutive matches. The result ends FC Como's run of 6 straight wins.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie A
