Krasnodar vs Dynamo Moscow: the story of the match
13' — Krasnodar took the lead: 1-0. D. Vorobjev scored it. 43' — Krasnodar extended the lead: 2-0. D. Vorobjev scored it. Half time: 2-0.
90' — Dynamo Moscow pulled one back: 2-1. K. Tyukavin scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Krasnodar won 2-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
KrasnodarDrawDynamo Moscow
Pre-match model estimate: Krasnodar 45%, draw 24%, Dynamo Moscow 31%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Krasnodar win in 45% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Dynamo Moscow win 31%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 57%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A 2-1 home win for Krasnodar against Dynamo Moscow in the Russia Cup. D. Vorobjev scored twice for Krasnodar. The half-time score was 2-0.
How the match unfolded
Krasnodar took the lead on 13 minutes thanks to D. Vorobjev, set up by M. Ozdoev. Krasnodar extended their lead to 2-0 on 43 minutes thanks to D. Vorobjev, set up by J. Boselli. Half-time: 2-0, Krasnodar in front.
Dynamo Moscow pulled one back to make it 2-1 in the 90th minute: K. Tyukavin. Krasnodar had a goal ruled out in the 93rd minute. Krasnodar had a goal ruled out.
The statistics
Krasnodar won 7 corners, Dynamo Moscow 8.
The bigger picture
Krasnodar end a run of 4 matches without a win. Dynamo Moscow have now scored in 11 consecutive matches.
Next fixtures
Krasnodar host CSKA Moscow next, on 7 November. Next up for Dynamo Moscow: away at Fakel Voronezh on Saturday 7 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
