One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Fakel VoronezhKick-off0-0Dynamo Moscow
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Fakel Voronezh win in 16% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Dynamo Moscow win 57%. Average goals 2.2; the most likely score is 0-1 (17%); both teams score in 37%. About 9.0 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 15%.
Goals scored per match: 1.9Goals conceded per match: 1
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Dynamo Moscow won 1-2.
Story
Fakel Voronezh vs Dynamo Moscow: the story of the match
3' — Dynamo Moscow took the lead: 0-1. Daniil Fomin scored it. 12' — Fakel Voronezh equalised: 1-1. Vyacheslav Yakimov scored it. 42' — Arthur Gomes of Dynamo Moscow was sent off. Half time: 1-1.
72' — Darko Todorovic of Fakel Voronezh was sent off. 90' — Dynamo Moscow went back in front: 1-2. Konstantin Tyukavin scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Dynamo Moscow won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Fakel VoronezhDrawDynamo Moscow
Pre-match model estimate: Fakel Voronezh 16%, draw 27%, Dynamo Moscow 57%.
A goal in the 90th minute gave Dynamo Moscow a 2-1 win against Fakel Voronezh in the Premier League. The half-time score was 1-1. Konstantin Tyukavin was our player of the match, rated 7.2 by the ScoreMondo model for Dynamo Moscow. Saturday 7 November, Stadion Fakel (Voronezh): Fakel Voronezh against Dynamo Moscow on matchday 14, kick-off 11:00.
The story of the match
Dynamo Moscow took the lead in the 3rd minute through Daniil Fomin. Fakel Voronezh drew level at 1-1 on 12 minutes thanks to Vyacheslav Yakimov. Dynamo Moscow were a man down from the 42nd minute, when Arthur Gomes was sent off for a second yellow card. Half-time: 1-1 between Fakel Voronezh and Dynamo Moscow.
Darko Todorovic saw a second yellow and then red in the 72nd minute, leaving Fakel Voronezh short-handed. Late on, in the 90th minute, Dynamo Moscow went 2-1 up through Konstantin Tyukavin.
The statistics
Fakel Voronezh had 10 shots (4 on target) to Dynamo Moscow's 5 (1). Fakel Voronezh won 5 corners, Dynamo Moscow 3. Cards: 3-2 in yellows, plus 2 red cards. Fouls: 17 by Fakel Voronezh, 11 by Dynamo Moscow; offsides 5-0.
Booked for Fakel Voronezh: Darko Todorovic (11'), Belajdi Pusi (17') and Clayton (87'). Dynamo Moscow's yellow cards went to Arthur Gomes in the 39th minute and Josué Casimir in the 82nd minute.
The table had Fakel Voronezh 16th (6 points) and Dynamo Moscow 2nd (28 points) going into the game. Before kick-off, Fakel Voronezh's last 5 matches had brought 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Fakel Voronezh lost 1-0 away to Rubin Kazan in their last match. Dynamo Moscow came into the match with 3 wins and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches — scoring in 11 straight games. Their most recent game was a 2-0 win over Akhmat Grozny for Dynamo Moscow. The record between them over the last 9 matches reads 3-4-2 from Fakel Voronezh's point of view. When they last met, on 5 August 2026, Dynamo Moscow won 1-0. There have been 21 goals in the 9 meetings, 2.3 a game. Referee Matvey Zaika showed 5 yellow cards and 2 reds; the average in our records is 2.8 yellows per game over 6 matches.
What the result means
Fakel Voronezh stay 16th on 6 points. Dynamo Moscow remain 2nd, now with 31 points. Fakel Voronezh have now gone 4 matches without a win. Dynamo Moscow have now scored in 12 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
