Independiente del Valle vs CSD Macara kick-off time: 20 Nov 2026
Ecuador
Serie A, Relegation Round Round 7
ScoreMondo estimate
MoreMost likely score: 1-0 (12%)
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Last 5 · Recent meetings
More- Independiente del ValleWWWWDUnbeaten in 5 matches
- CSD MacaraDWWWWScored in 10 matches in a row
- Serie ACSD Macara1 - 0Independiente del Valle
- Serie AIndependiente del Valle3 - 1CSD Macara
- Serie ACSD Macara0 - 3Independiente del Valle
- Per match
- Corners won5.1·4.4
- Yellow cards1.3·1.5
Serie A
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | +40 | 74 |
| 2 | CD Universidad Catolica Quito | 30 | +24 | 51 |
| 3 | CSD Macara | 30 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 | SD Aucas | 30 | +5 | 50 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Independiente del Valle and CSD Macara meet on in Serie A, Relegation Round.
Venue: Estadio Banco Guayaquil.
In our records Independiente del Valle and CSD Macara have met 10 times: Independiente del Valle won 8, 1 ended level and CSD Macara won 1.
Their latest meeting (): CSD Macara 1-0 Independiente del Valle.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsOne of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Independiente del Valle 2.1 – 0.8 CSD Macara. Most frequent scores: 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (10%). Both teams score in 49% of the simulated matches. About 9.9 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 23%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
- Independiente del Valle: the stronger side on our resultsIDstrong
- Independiente del Valle: home advantage in this competitionIDstrong
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Independiente del Valle.
Preview
Independiente del Valle vs CSD Macara: preview
Independiente del Valle have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches. Independiente del Valle are unbeaten in 5 matches. 4 of Independiente del Valle's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4. CSD Macara have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches. CSD Macara have scored in 10 matches in a row. 7 of CSD Macara's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6.
In their last 10 meetings, Independiente del Valle won 8, 1 ended level and CSD Macara won 1. Independiente del Valle are in position 1 with 74 points, CSD Macara in position 3 with 51 points. A win could lift CSD Macara as high as position 2.
Table by result
- A win lifts them to 2.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
