Independiente del Valle vs LDU Quito: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
66' — Independiente del Valle took the lead: 1-0. Carlos González scored it. 68' — Independiente del Valle extended the lead: 2-0. Steven Góngora scored it. Independiente del Valle won 2-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Independiente del ValleDrawLDU Quito
Pre-match model estimate: Independiente del Valle 51%, draw 25%, LDU Quito 24%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Independiente del Valle win in 51% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and LDU Quito win 24%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 53%. About 10.3 corners on average. About 4.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 22%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Half-time: 0-0 between Independiente del Valle and LDU Quito.
Independiente del Valle took the lead on 66 minutes thanks to Carlos González. Independiente del Valle extended their lead to 2-0 in the 68th minute: Steven Góngora.
What the numbers say
Independiente del Valle won 4 corners, LDU Quito 2.
The bigger picture
LDU Quito have now gone 4 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
